── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Denis Shapovalov 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Zachary Svajda
Denis Shapovalov
37%63%
Hard: 29% / 71%
Clay: 24% / 76%
Grass: 78% / 22%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Zachary Svajda
46th · average
Denis Shapovalov
60th · average
Return
Zachary Svajda
54th · average
Denis Shapovalov
85th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#93
model rank
#49
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
CAN
175cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Zachary Svajda■ Denis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-04Canada MastersHardR128Zachary Svajda4-6 6-4 3-0 RET