── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexei Popyrin a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Zachary Svajda
Alexei Popyrin
49%51%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 13% / 87%
Grass: 81% / 19%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Zachary Svajda
46th · average
Alexei Popyrin
73th · strong
Return
Zachary Svajda
54th · average
Alexei Popyrin
25th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#93
model rank
#90
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
175cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Zachary Svajda■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-26Roland GarrosClayR128Zachary Svajda3-6 6-3 7-6(3) 7-5
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR128Zachary Svajda3-6 6-3 7-6(3) 7-5