── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Zachary Svajda a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Zachary Svajda
Alexei Popyrin
51%49%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 14% / 86%
Grass: 81% / 19%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Zachary Svajda
44th · average
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Return
Zachary Svajda
51th · average
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#71
model rank
#75
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
175cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Zachary SvajdaAlexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR128Zachary Svajda3-6 6-3 7-6(3) 7-5