── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Zachary Svajda
Daniel Merida Aguilar
29%71%
Hard: 34% / 66%
Clay: 12% / 88%
Grass: 85% / 15%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Zachary Svajda
46th · average
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Return
Zachary Svajda
54th · average
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#93
model rank
#31
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ESP
175cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Zachary Svajda■ Daniel Merida Aguilar
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardQ2Zachary Svajda6-0 6-7(2) 6-2