── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Martin Damm 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Shintaro Mochizuki
Martin Damm
31%69%
Hard: 30% / 70%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 67% / 33%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Martin Damm
80th · strong
Return
Shintaro Mochizuki
85th · strong
Martin Damm
5th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#166
model rank
#87
Grass
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
JPN
country
USA
175cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Shintaro Mochizuki■ Martin Damm
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–2
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-24ChengduHardR32Martin Damm6-1 6-4
2024-08-26Us OpenHardQ1Shintaro Mochizuki6-7(7) 6-1 7-6(7)
2020-11-30M15 Santo DomingoHardR32Martin Damm6-3 6-7(10) 6-3