── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Shintaro Mochizuki a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Shintaro Mochizuki
Facundo Bagnis
54%46%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 96% / 4%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Facundo Bagnis
23th · below avg
Return
Shintaro Mochizuki
85th · strong
Facundo Bagnis
20th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#167
model rank
#179
Grass
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
JPN
country
ARG
175cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Shintaro Mochizuki■ Facundo Bagnis
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | Q1 | Shintaro Mochizuki | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | Q3 | Shintaro Mochizuki | 6-4 2-0 RET |