── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Pierre Hugues Herbert 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Shintaro Mochizuki
Pierre Hugues Herbert
43%57%
Hard: 34% / 66%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 66% / 34%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Pierre Hugues Herbert
26th · below avg
Return
Shintaro Mochizuki
78th · strong
Pierre Hugues Herbert
5th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#174
model rank
#157
Grass
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
FRA
175cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Shintaro MochizukiPierre Hugues Herbert
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassQ1Shintaro Mochizuki6-1 6-1
2025-06-16Nottingham 2 CHGrassR32Shintaro Mochizuki6-4 7-6(7)