── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Shintaro Mochizuki a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Shintaro Mochizuki
Pierre Hugues Herbert
54%46%
Hard: 38% / 62%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 72% / 28%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Pierre Hugues Herbert
27th · below avg
Return
Shintaro Mochizuki
85th · strong
Pierre Hugues Herbert
3th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#166
model rank
#178
Grass
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
FRA
175cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Shintaro Mochizuki■ Pierre Hugues Herbert
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassQ1Shintaro Mochizuki6-1 6-1
2025-06-16Nottingham 2 CHGrassR32Shintaro Mochizuki6-4 7-6(7)