── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mackenzie Mcdonald a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Shintaro Mochizuki
Mackenzie Mcdonald
48%52%
Hard: 31% / 69%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 72% / 28%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Mackenzie Mcdonald
22th · below avg
Return
Shintaro Mochizuki
85th · strong
Mackenzie Mcdonald
41th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#167
model rank
#158
Grass
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
USA
175cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Shintaro Mochizuki■ Mackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass2–0
Hard0–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Nottingham CH | Grass | R16 | Shintaro Mochizuki | 7-6(3) 7-5 |
| 2025-11-02 | Athens | Hard | Q2 | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 4-6 6-2 6-2 |
| 2024-06-03 | Surbiton CH | Grass | R16 | Shintaro Mochizuki | 2-6 6-4 6-2 |
| 2022-09-26 | Seoul | Hard | R16 | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 6-3 6-4 |