── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Roman Andres Burruchaga 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Shintaro Mochizuki
Roman Andres Burruchaga
23%77%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 17% / 83%
Grass: 78% / 22%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Roman Andres Burruchaga
25th · below avg
Return
Shintaro Mochizuki
78th · strong
Roman Andres Burruchaga
91th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#174
model rank
#76
Grass
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
ARG
175cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Shintaro MochizukiRoman Andres Burruchaga
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
Clay01
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-25Us OpenHardQ2Shintaro Mochizuki6-4 1-6 6-4
2025-04-28Mauthausen CHClayR16Roman Andres Burruchaga6-4 6-2
2024-08-26Us OpenHardQ2Shintaro Mochizuki6-3 6-2