── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Luciano Darderi 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Shintaro Mochizuki
Luciano Darderi
14%86%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 7% / 93%
Grass: 77% / 23%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Return
Shintaro Mochizuki
78th · strong
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#174
model rank
#37
Grass
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
ITA
175cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Shintaro MochizukiLuciano Darderi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-13AlmatyHardR16Shintaro Mochizuki6-3 6-3