── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Arnaldi 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Arnaldi
Jan Lennard Struff
62%38%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 17% / 83%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Arnaldi
27th · below avg
Jan Lennard Struff
61th · average
Return
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Jan Lennard Struff
50th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#54
model rank
#102
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
GER
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Arnaldi■ Jan Lennard Struff
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-09 | Stuttgart | Grass | R32 | Jan Lennard Struff | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-3 3-6 6-4 |
| 2022-10-31 | Bergamo CH | Hard | QF | Jan Lennard Struff | 4-6 6-1 6-4 |