── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Arnaldi 87% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Arnaldi
Vasek Pospisil
87%13%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 97% / 3%
Grass: 37% / 63%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Arnaldi
30th · below avg
Vasek Pospisil
10th · poor
Return
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Vasek Pospisil
1th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#84
model rank
#188
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CAN
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Arnaldi■ Vasek Pospisil
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-07 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-4 6-4 |