── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Arnaldi a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Arnaldi
Marton Fucsovics
52%48%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 13% / 87%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Arnaldi
27th · below avg
Marton Fucsovics
56th · average
Return
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Marton Fucsovics
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#54
model rank
#59
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
HUN
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Arnaldi■ Marton Fucsovics
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | Tokyo | Hard | Q2 | Marton Fucsovics | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2024-01-01 | Brisbane | Hard | R32 | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-7(5) 6-4 7-6(7) |
| 2023-01-01 | Canberra CH | Hard | R16 | Marton Fucsovics | 6-2 3-6 6-1 |