── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Arnaldi 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Arnaldi
Damir Dzumhur
65%35%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 35% / 65%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Arnaldi
30th · below avg
Damir Dzumhur
6th · poor
Return
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Damir Dzumhur
73th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#84
model rank
#149
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
BIH
185cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Arnaldi■ Damir Dzumhur
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Umag | Clay | QF | Damir Dzumhur | 7-6(5) 6-7(4) 7-6(4) |
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-3 6-4 |