── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Arnaldi 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Arnaldi
Bernard Tomic
72%28%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 24% / 76%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Arnaldi
29th · below avg
Bernard Tomic
11th · poor
Return
Matteo Arnaldi
66th · average
Bernard Tomic
4th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#86
model rank
#173
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
AUS
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Arnaldi■ Bernard Tomic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings