── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Borna Coric a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Arnaldi
Borna Coric
49%51%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 62% / 38%
Grass: 25% / 75%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Arnaldi
30th · below avg
Borna Coric
70th · average
Return
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Borna Coric
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#84
model rank
#80
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CRO
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Arnaldi■ Borna Coric
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R128 | Matteo Arnaldi | 4-6 6-4 7-5 |