── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Arnaldi
Matteo Berrettini
36%64%
Hard: 33% / 67%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 4% / 96%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Arnaldi
29th · below avg
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Return
Matteo Arnaldi
66th · average
Matteo Berrettini
39th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#86
model rank
#37
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ITA
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Arnaldi■ Matteo Berrettini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | QF | Matteo Arnaldi | 7-5 5-2 RET |