── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Arnaldi 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Arnaldi
Daniel Altmaier
62%38%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 50% / 50%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Arnaldi
27th · below avg
Daniel Altmaier
41th · average
Return
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Daniel Altmaier
33th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#54
model rank
#103
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
GER
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Arnaldi■ Daniel Altmaier
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-21 | Washington | Hard | R64 | Matteo Arnaldi | 4-6 6-2 7-6(2) |