── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tallon Griekspoor a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Arnaldi
Tallon Griekspoor
49%51%
Hard: 30% / 70%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 13% / 87%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Arnaldi
27th · below avg
Tallon Griekspoor
84th · strong
Return
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Tallon Griekspoor
29th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#54
model rank
#52
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
NED
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Arnaldi■ Tallon Griekspoor
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-7(9) 6-3 7-6(6) 6-3 |