── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tallon Griekspoor a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Arnaldi
Tallon Griekspoor
46%54%
Hard: 32% / 68%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 15% / 85%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Arnaldi
29th · below avg
Tallon Griekspoor
83th · strong
Return
Matteo Arnaldi
66th · average
Tallon Griekspoor
20th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#86
model rank
#70
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
NED
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Arnaldi■ Tallon Griekspoor
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Tallon Griekspoor | 3-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2026-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-7(9) 6-3 7-6(6) 6-3 |
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-7(9) 6-3 7-6(6) 6-3 |