── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jaume Munar a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Matteo Arnaldi
Jaume Munar
45%55%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 35% / 65%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Matteo Arnaldi
27th · below avg
Jaume Munar
55th · average
Return
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Jaume Munar
88th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#54
model rank
#44
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
ESP
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Matteo ArnaldiJaume Munar
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay32
Hard01
── 6 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR128Matteo Arnaldi6-3 3-6 6-3
2025-02-03DallasHardQFJaume Munar6-4 3-6 6-3
2023-06-05Heilbronn CHClayQFMatteo Arnaldi1-6 6-4 7-5
2023-04-24Madrid MastersClayR32Jaume Munar3-6 6-3 6-1
2023-04-17BarcelonaClayR64Matteo Arnaldi6-3 6-4
2022-06-06Perugia CHClayR32Jaume Munar6-2 7-5