── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Arnaldi
Felix Auger Aliassime
25%75%
Hard: 15% / 85%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 14% / 86%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Arnaldi
27th · below avg
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#54
model rank
#9
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
CAN
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Arnaldi■ Felix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Matteo Arnaldi | 5-7 2-6 6-3 6-4 6-2 |