── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Arnaldi a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Arnaldi
Fabian Marozsan
55%45%
Hard: 33% / 67%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Arnaldi
27th · below avg
Fabian Marozsan
71th · strong
Return
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Fabian Marozsan
61th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#54
model rank
#68
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
HUN
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Arnaldi■ Fabian Marozsan
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-18 | Geneva | Clay | R16 | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-3 7-6(3) |
| 2022-08-08 | San Marino CH | Clay | QF | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2021-04-12 | M15 Antalya | Clay | R32 | Matteo Arnaldi | 7-6(2) 6-4 |