── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Fabian Marozsan a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Arnaldi
Fabian Marozsan
49%51%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 26% / 74%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Arnaldi
29th · below avg
Fabian Marozsan
64th · average
Return
Matteo Arnaldi
66th · average
Fabian Marozsan
48th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#86
model rank
#79
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
HUN
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Arnaldi■ Fabian Marozsan
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay3–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Matteo Arnaldi | 7-5 2-6 6-4 |
| 2025-05-18 | Geneva | Clay | R16 | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-3 7-6(3) |
| 2022-08-08 | San Marino CH | Clay | QF | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2021-04-12 | M15 Antalya | Clay | R32 | Matteo Arnaldi | 7-6(2) 6-4 |