── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Juan Manuel Cerundolo 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Arnaldi
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
43%57%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 57% / 43%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Arnaldi
29th · below avg
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
46th · average
Return
Matteo Arnaldi
66th · average
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
53th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#86
model rank
#62
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
ARG
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Arnaldi■ Juan Manuel Cerundolo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | Cagliari CH | Clay | R16 | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-2 6-3 |