── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Arnaldi 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Matteo Arnaldi
Tristan Schoolkate
68%32%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 94% / 6%
Grass: 24% / 76%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Matteo Arnaldi
30th · below avg
Tristan Schoolkate
39th · below avg
Return
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Tristan Schoolkate
8th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#84
model rank
#158
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
AUS
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Matteo Arnaldi■ Tristan Schoolkate
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Vienna | Hard | Q2 | Matteo Arnaldi | 7-6(5) 6-3 |
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-3 3-6 6-3 |