── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Valentin Royer a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Valentin Royer
Roberto Bautista Agut
51%49%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 31% / 69%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Valentin Royer
43th · average
Roberto Bautista Agut
34th · below avg
Return
Valentin Royer
18th · poor
Roberto Bautista Agut
72th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#118
model rank
#122
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ESP
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Valentin RoyerRoberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-10Cap Cana CHHardR16Valentin Royer6-4 7-6(5)