── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Valentin Royer
Andrey Rublev
24%76%
Hard: 23% / 77%
Clay: 16% / 84%
Grass: 31% / 69%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Valentin Royer
32th · below avg
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Return
Valentin Royer
44th · average
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#114
model rank
#27
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
RUS
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Valentin Royer■ Andrey Rublev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Dubai | Hard | R32 | Andrey Rublev | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-09-17 | Hangzhou | Hard | R16 | Valentin Royer | 6-4 7-6(2) |