── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Valentin Royer
Andrey Rublev
20%80%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 18% / 82%
Grass: 30% / 70%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Valentin Royer
43th · average
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Return
Valentin Royer
18th · poor
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#118
model rank
#19
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
RUS
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Valentin RoyerAndrey Rublev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23DubaiHardR32Andrey Rublev6-3 6-4
2025-09-17HangzhouHardR16Valentin Royer6-4 7-6(2)