── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Valentin Royer 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Valentin Royer
Luca Nardi
57%43%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 86% / 14%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Valentin Royer
43th · average
Luca Nardi
16th · poor
Return
Valentin Royer
18th · poor
Luca Nardi
45th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#118
model rank
#144
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Valentin Royer■ Luca Nardi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Monza CH | Clay | R32 | Valentin Royer | 7-6(4) 7-5 |
| 2021-07-19 | M15 Perugia | Clay | R16 | Luca Nardi | 6-4 6-4 |