── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Mariano Navone 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Valentin Royer
Mariano Navone
26%74%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 22% / 78%
Grass: 83% / 17%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Valentin Royer
43th · average
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Return
Valentin Royer
18th · poor
Mariano Navone
97th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#118
model rank
#32
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ARG
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Valentin RoyerMariano Navone
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-10Cap Cana CHHardQFMariano Navone6-2 7-6(5)
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR128Valentin Royer3-6 6-4 6-4