── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Mariano Navone 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Valentin Royer
Mariano Navone
32%68%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 81% / 19%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Valentin Royer
32th · below avg
Mariano Navone
32th · below avg
Return
Valentin Royer
44th · average
Mariano Navone
96th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#114
model rank
#50
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ARG
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Valentin Royer■ Mariano Navone
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-10Cap Cana CHHardQFMariano Navone6-2 7-6(5)
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR128Valentin Royer3-6 6-4 6-4