── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mariano Navone
Novak Djokovic
15%85%
Hard: 8% / 92%
Clay: 22% / 78%
Grass: 1% / 99%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mariano Navone
32th · below avg
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Return
Mariano Navone
96th · elite
Novak Djokovic
97th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#50
model rank
#4
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
SRB
178cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mariano Navone■ Novak Djokovic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | R128 | Mariano Navone | 7-6(5) 5-7 4-6 6-2 6-1 |