── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Mariano Navone 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mariano Navone
Jan Lennard Struff
71%29%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 12% / 88%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Jan Lennard Struff
61th · average
Return
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Jan Lennard Struff
50th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#32
model rank
#102
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
GER
178cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Mariano NavoneJan Lennard Struff
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardQ1Mariano Navone6-7(2) 6-2 6-4