── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Mariano Navone 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mariano Navone
Nikoloz Basilashvili
72%28%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 17% / 83%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Return
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Nikoloz Basilashvili
25th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#32
model rank
#105
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
GEO
178cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Mariano NavoneNikoloz Basilashvili
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR128Mariano Navone7-6(7) 6-3