── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mariano Navone 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mariano Navone
Marcos Giron
63%37%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 11% / 89%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Marcos Giron
62th · average
Return
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Marcos Giron
71th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#32
model rank
#65
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
178cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mariano Navone■ Marcos Giron
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Marcos Giron | 4-6 7-5 6-3 |
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Marcos Giron | 6-0 7-5 4-6 5-7 6-4 |
| 2025-08-17 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R32 | Mariano Navone | 6-2 6-2 |