── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mariano Navone 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mariano Navone
Christopher Oconnell
79%21%
Hard: 37% / 63%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 32% / 68%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Return
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#32
model rank
#142
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
AUS
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mariano Navone■ Christopher Oconnell
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Bucharest | Clay | R32 | Mariano Navone | 6-4 7-6(8) |