── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Mariano Navone 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mariano Navone
Alexandre Muller
74%26%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 40% / 60%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mariano Navone
32th · below avg
Alexandre Muller
23th · below avg
Return
Mariano Navone
96th · elite
Alexandre Muller
19th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#50
model rank
#148
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
FRA
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Mariano Navone■ Alexandre Muller
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-20KitzbuhelClayR32Mariano Navone6-4 6-0