── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mariano Navone 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mariano Navone
Reilly Opelka
71%29%
Hard: 33% / 67%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 24% / 76%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Reilly Opelka
96th · elite
Return
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#32
model rank
#100
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
178cm
height
211cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mariano Navone■ Reilly Opelka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Mariano Navone | 6-1 7-6(1) 6-3 |