── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mariano Navone 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mariano Navone
Nuno Borges
60%40%
Hard: 33% / 67%
Clay: 62% / 38%
Grass: 20% / 80%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Nuno Borges
59th · average
Return
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Nuno Borges
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#32
model rank
#55
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
POR
178cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mariano Navone■ Nuno Borges
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
Hard0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R128 | Mariano Navone | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-01-06 | Auckland | Hard | R16 | Nuno Borges | 4-6 7-5 6-4 |
| 2024-07-29 | Paris Olympics | Clay | R64 | Mariano Navone | 6-2 6-2 |