── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mariano Navone
Casper Ruud
35%65%
Hard: 23% / 77%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 31% / 69%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Return
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#32
model rank
#11
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
NOR
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mariano Navone■ Casper Ruud
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Geneva | Clay | SF | Mariano Navone | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2025-01-30 | Davis Cup QLS R1: NOR vs ARG | Hard | RR | Casper Ruud | 6-3 6-3 |