── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mariano Navone 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mariano Navone
Alex Molcan
64%36%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 24% / 76%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Alex Molcan
29th · below avg
Return
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Alex Molcan
79th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#32
model rank
#67
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
SVK
178cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mariano Navone■ Alex Molcan
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Bucharest | Clay | QF | Mariano Navone | 3-6 6-2 6-3 |