── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mariano Navone
Felix Auger Aliassime
34%66%
Hard: 11% / 89%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 10% / 90%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#32
model rank
#9
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
CAN
178cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mariano Navone■ Felix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Mariano Navone | 7-6(4) 7-6(5) |
| 2025-04-14 | Munich | Clay | R32 | Mariano Navone | 2-6 6-4 7-6(3) |