── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mariano Navone
Felix Auger Aliassime
30%70%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 6% / 94%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mariano Navone
33th · below avg
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Mariano Navone
96th · elite
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#50
model rank
#11
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
CAN
178cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Mariano Navone■ Felix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-06Rome MastersClayR64Mariano Navone7-6(4) 7-6(5)
2025-04-14MunichClayR32Mariano Navone2-6 6-4 7-6(3)