── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mariano Navone 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mariano Navone
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
67%33%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 62% / 38%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Return
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#32
model rank
#82
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ARG
178cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mariano Navone■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–3
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Buenos Aires | Clay | R16 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2024-01-22 | Punta Del Este CH | Clay | R32 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2022-10-24 | Lima CH | Clay | R32 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2022-09-19 | Villa Maria CH | Clay | R16 | Mariano Navone | 6-1 7-6(2) |