── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Valentin Vacherot 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mariano Navone
Valentin Vacherot
44%56%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 52% / 48%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mariano Navone
32th · below avg
Valentin Vacherot
87th · strong
Return
Mariano Navone
96th · elite
Valentin Vacherot
32th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#50
model rank
#32
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
MON
178cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Mariano Navone■ Valentin Vacherot
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-05Canada MastersHardR64Mariano Navone1-6 6-3 6-3
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR64Valentin Vacherot6-3 6-4