── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Francisco Cerundolo 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mariano Navone
Francisco Cerundolo
38%62%
Hard: 25% / 75%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 17% / 83%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mariano Navone
32th · below avg
Francisco Cerundolo
61th · average
Return
Mariano Navone
96th · elite
Francisco Cerundolo
96th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#50
model rank
#24
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ARG
178cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Mariano Navone■ Francisco Cerundolo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–2
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16Rio de JaneiroClayR32Francisco Cerundolo6-3 6-4
2025-07-14BastadClayR16Francisco Cerundolo6-3 6-3
2024-04-15BucharestClayQFMariano Navone5-7 6-4 7-5