── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Mariano Navone 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mariano Navone
Mattia Bellucci
75%25%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 16% / 84%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Return
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#32
model rank
#123
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
ITA
178cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Mariano NavoneMattia Bellucci
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-10Cap Cana CHHardFMariano Navone7-5 6-4