── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Mariano Navone a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mariano Navone
Mattia Bellucci
56%44%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 9% / 91%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mariano Navone
32th · below avg
Mattia Bellucci
54th · average
Return
Mariano Navone
96th · elite
Mattia Bellucci
52th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#50
model rank
#66
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
ITA
178cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Mariano Navone■ Mattia Bellucci
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-10Cap Cana CHHardFMariano Navone7-5 6-4