── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mariano Navone 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mariano Navone
Shintaro Mochizuki
79%21%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 9% / 91%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mariano Navone
32th · below avg
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Mariano Navone
96th · elite
Shintaro Mochizuki
85th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#50
model rank
#166
Clay
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
JPN
178cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mariano Navone■ Shintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | Cap Cana CH | Hard | R16 | Mariano Navone | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2024-04-29 | Cagliari CH | Clay | R16 | Mariano Navone | 6-0 4-6 6-3 |