── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mariano Navone 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mariano Navone
Valentin Royer
68%32%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 21% / 79%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mariano Navone
33th · below avg
Valentin Royer
32th · below avg
Return
Mariano Navone
96th · elite
Valentin Royer
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#50
model rank
#114
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
FRA
178cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mariano Navone■ Valentin Royer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | Cap Cana CH | Hard | QF | Mariano Navone | 6-2 7-6(5) |
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R128 | Valentin Royer | 3-6 6-4 6-4 |