── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Mariano Navone 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mariano Navone
Roman Andres Burruchaga
66%34%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 34% / 66%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Roman Andres Burruchaga
25th · below avg
Return
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Roman Andres Burruchaga
91th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#32
model rank
#76
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ARG
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Mariano NavoneRoman Andres Burruchaga
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay13
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-11-10Montevideo CHClayQFRoman Andres Burruchaga6-4 6-4
2023-05-29Vicenza CHClayR16Roman Andres Burruchaga6-4 6-7(2) 7-6(1)
2023-04-24Buenos Aires CHClayQFMariano Navone6-3 7-6(2)
2023-03-06Santiago CHClayR32Roman Andres Burruchaga6-0 6-4