── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mariano Navone a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mariano Navone
Luciano Darderi
52%48%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 32% / 68%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Return
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#32
model rank
#37
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ITA
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mariano Navone■ Luciano Darderi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–4
Hard1–0
── 8 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Santiago | Clay | R16 | Luciano Darderi | 6-3 3-6 6-4 |
| 2024-09-25 | Tokyo | Hard | R32 | Mariano Navone | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Luciano Darderi | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-04-29 | Cagliari CH | Clay | SF | Mariano Navone | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2024-04-15 | Bucharest | Clay | R32 | Mariano Navone | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2024-02-12 | Buenos Aires | Clay | R32 | Luciano Darderi | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2023-11-06 | Lima CH | Clay | F | Luciano Darderi | 4-6 6-3 7-5 |
| 2023-10-09 | Buenos Aires CH | Clay | SF | Mariano Navone | 2-6 6-4 7-5 |