── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mariano Navone a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mariano Navone
Raphael Collignon
51%49%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 22% / 78%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mariano Navone
33th · below avg
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Return
Mariano Navone
96th · elite
Raphael Collignon
49th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#50
model rank
#54
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
BEL
178cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mariano Navone■ Raphael Collignon
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R128 | Mariano Navone | 6-3 7-6(3) |