── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Arthur Fils 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mariano Navone
Arthur Fils
22%78%
Hard: 16% / 84%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 10% / 90%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mariano Navone
33th · below avg
Arthur Fils
93th · elite
Return
Mariano Navone
96th · elite
Arthur Fils
95th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#50
model rank
#6
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
FRA
178cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Mariano Navone■ Arthur Fils
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-06Canada MastersHardR32Arthur Fils6-3 6-2
2022-08-22Prague CHClayR32Mariano Navone6-4 6-1