── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Fils 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mariano Navone
Arthur Fils
22%78%
Hard: 16% / 84%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 10% / 90%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mariano Navone
33th · below avg
Arthur Fils
93th · elite
Return
Mariano Navone
96th · elite
Arthur Fils
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#50
model rank
#6
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
FRA
178cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mariano Navone■ Arthur Fils
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Arthur Fils | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2022-08-22 | Prague CH | Clay | R32 | Mariano Navone | 6-4 6-1 |
