── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mariano Navone
Daniel Merida Aguilar
41%59%
Hard: 30% / 70%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 38% / 62%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mariano Navone
33th · below avg
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Return
Mariano Navone
96th · elite
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#50
model rank
#31
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ESP
178cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mariano Navone■ Daniel Merida Aguilar
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Bucharest | Clay | F | Mariano Navone | 6-2 4-6 7-5 |
| 2022-07-25 | M25 Denia | Clay | R32 | Mariano Navone | 7-6(4) 4-6 6-3 |