── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Mariano Navone
Learner Tien
36%64%
Hard: 23% / 77%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 23% / 77%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Mariano Navone
32th · below avg
Learner Tien
63th · average
Return
Mariano Navone
96th · elite
Learner Tien
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#50
model rank
#22
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
USA
178cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Mariano Navone■ Learner Tien
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Geneva | Clay | F | Learner Tien | 3-6 6-3 7-5 |
| 2025-09-17 | Hangzhou | Hard | R32 | Learner Tien | 5-7 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Mariano Navone | 7-5 6-4 |